Brexit Casual

I am appalled by the casualness of Brexit from Cameron’s initial blunder to the schoolboy antics of the Brexit ministers.

Brexit whichever side you are on is the most momentous event in the history of Britain for several centuries. It completely alters our post war situation in the global framework. It will take years to complete and  may well have side effects across Europe.

And yet every politician involved right from the start has treated it in much the same way as they would play Monopoly. Not a single one of them is confronting the appalling situation the UK finds itself in. Likewise the Main Stream Media are one and all  acting on their own paltry agendas including apparently the BBC.

History will come  to regard 2016 as the zenith of of madness in a dangerous world, the culmination of years of self-indulgence by the British political elite.

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Trump and Brexit

This may be a muddled post but it is now a muddled world. The hegemony of the last few decades has started to fray at the edges, probably no more than that. But once a dam wall has been breached a flood is likely. So too Trump and Brexit may represent the breach.

The ruling elite of the uber rich, the large global corporations and their political hangers-on have for too long ignored or been ignorant of the mass of their populations seeing their prosperity and their prospects stagnate. One should remember that these people are not just the old working class but also many in the middle class.Their frustrations and resentments have been exploited by public figures largely for their own ends. Boris Johnson is a classic example of somebody grasping for power on the backs of the disaffected. But Trump is the same only he has succeeded. For all the public record of his statements we actually have no idea what he believes in, let alone what he will do over the next four years.

The reaction to this muddle has also been apparently muddled. Why has the English Press so insanely and viciously attacked the Judges ruling on Parliament and Brexit? It does not make sense as Brexit is part of the breakdown of  the old order. Unless the Press Barons see an opportunity for more power which we can’t see.

Nothing in the future is predictable in this sea of uncertainty. However This turmoil is unlikely to solve the problems of the Trump and Brexit supporters nor will it solve the refugee crises and the growing problems of youth unemployment. It is likely to lead to further disruption in the EU and the Middle East as populist parties take advantage of the situation in forthcoming elections and conflicting loyalties and policies add to the troubles in Syria and North Africa.

Much will be written and many soothsayers will predict our future but uncertainty will be the only certainty.

No Matter – Yes Or No – Scottish Independence

Robert Peston’s BBC programme Scotland: For Richer or Poorer was interesting even if it didn’t reveal anything startling. His interview with the man from the Institute of Fiscal Studies was bland, but Sir Philip Cohen of Dundee University thought that we would not have access to the large pot of research money in the UK. He seemed to forget that in the UK as a whole far more universities compete for the pot whereas in an independent Scotland there would be far fewer competing and no doubt a smaller total amount of money so things might be much the same.

However nobody addressed another overriding economic factor. Europe, the UK and Scotland are all part of a declining world position vis a vis the rising nations of China, India and others. We, either in an independent state or as part of the UK or Europe, will have to raise our game very considerably and fast if our workforce is to have any chance of maintaining the current standard of living. These newer economies are producing highly skilled workforces who work for a fraction of what we in the UK expect. Our politicians talk in terms of the skills in Scotland as though they were ahead of most of the world. That is no longer true in any of the high tech industries let alone basic manufacturing. That is where the real future problems lie for Scotland and for the rest of Europe. “Better Together” suggest that a United Kingdom will be stronger economically but this problem will remain whatever the September 18th outcome.