I would like a hard-line Brexiter to give me one good reason for it. I don’t want to hear about immigration or making Britain great or Global UK. All that is pie in the sky, more spin, more hot air.
There will be no bonanza of jobs for jobless Britons; it will be years before we have a workforce able to take on existing low paid jobs. As for highly skilled jobs in our universities and health system there is no chance in the foreseeable future that we will not need skilled people from abroad. In fact Brexit could well reduce that workforce disastrously.
The big players, USA, China and the EU will extract their pound of flesh for every trade deal. The USA in particular has, ever since WWII, obtained the maximum benefit from any trade deals especially from the UK, think Lend-Lease.
So come on. What’s in it for us, the ordinary citizen of the UK?
There would appear to be no overwhelming reason to trigger Brexit. A minority of the UK population voted for it and a slightly smaller minority voted against it. The referendum was clearly advisory so why do it?
The ordinary voters who voted to leave the EU appear to have been in the main people who felt completely excluded from and powerless in modern society. But the leaders of the Leave campaign were clearly not in that group. So what do the hard line Brexiters including most of the press think they are going to gain from what becomes clearer by the day will be a much impoverished UK?
The time would appear to be ripe for further government by the people. In spite of being a representative democracy the UK members of parliament have decided to honour the result of the EU referendum whatever their own positions on the desirability of Brexit; this even though the referendum was advisory.
While Westminster is in the mood to meekly accept the result of any referendum how about some more…
one to ban drinking on Sunday
one banning Fox Hunting
another to abolish the House of Lords
another to bring back the death penalty
even one to turn the UK into a republic so we can have a Trump like president of our own.
I am appalled by the casualness of Brexit from Cameron’s initial blunder to the schoolboy antics of the Brexit ministers.
Brexit whichever side you are on is the most momentous event in the history of Britain for several centuries. It completely alters our post war situation in the global framework. It will take years to complete and may well have side effects across Europe.
And yet every politician involved right from the start has treated it in much the same way as they would play Monopoly. Not a single one of them is confronting the appalling situation the UK finds itself in. Likewise the Main Stream Media are one and all acting on their own paltry agendas including apparently the BBC.
History will come to regard 2016 as the zenith of of madness in a dangerous world, the culmination of years of self-indulgence by the British political elite.
This may be a muddled post but it is now a muddled world. The hegemony of the last few decades has started to fray at the edges, probably no more than that. But once a dam wall has been breached a flood is likely. So too Trump and Brexit may represent the breach.
The ruling elite of the uber rich, the large global corporations and their political hangers-on have for too long ignored or been ignorant of the mass of their populations seeing their prosperity and their prospects stagnate. One should remember that these people are not just the old working class but also many in the middle class.Their frustrations and resentments have been exploited by public figures largely for their own ends. Boris Johnson is a classic example of somebody grasping for power on the backs of the disaffected. But Trump is the same only he has succeeded. For all the public record of his statements we actually have no idea what he believes in, let alone what he will do over the next four years.
The reaction to this muddle has also been apparently muddled. Why has the English Press so insanely and viciously attacked the Judges ruling on Parliament and Brexit? It does not make sense as Brexit is part of the breakdown of the old order. Unless the Press Barons see an opportunity for more power which we can’t see.
Nothing in the future is predictable in this sea of uncertainty. However This turmoil is unlikely to solve the problems of the Trump and Brexit supporters nor will it solve the refugee crises and the growing problems of youth unemployment. It is likely to lead to further disruption in the EU and the Middle East as populist parties take advantage of the situation in forthcoming elections and conflicting loyalties and policies add to the troubles in Syria and North Africa.
Much will be written and many soothsayers will predict our future but uncertainty will be the only certainty.
I have not posted to my blog for months. Instead I have sat back appalled by events.
However It seems to me that those little Englanders who voted for us to leave the EU under the illusion that England could once again be Great Britannia have actually put the final nails in the coffin of that pipedream. They will find that while the UK could delude itself that it was somehow special while part of the European Union once on its own they will find that England has suddenly become part of a offshore island of little consequence to the giants of world finance. Having to renegotiate from a weak position all the EU treaties we presently take for granted will take years and will at every turn demonstrate how insignificant trade with England will have become. Perhaps at last the little Englander world view will be dead.
Meanwhile Tory Prime Minister, Theresa May, who was a Remain supporter has capitulated to the extreme EU sceptics in her party. In a parliamentary democracy, there should be no such thing as a binding referendum, certainly not on something which has the potential to sweep away 300 years of history and leave England on its own in an increasingly hostile world. It should be parliament that decides the way ahead, taking into account the marginal majority of the referendum voters. Instead May has compounded the facile, lazy way in which Cameron brought about the referendum by cow towing to the vociferous hardliners in her party in a populist fashion worthy of all the worst populist parties in Europe. The Conservative party has become overnight virtually indistinguishable from UKIP.
Most commentators seem to agree that the Westminster government has now taken a further step towards exiting the EU and the Convention on Human Rights. This certainly affects the considerations surrounding the Independence referendum.
Personally I would prefer Scotland to have its own currency outside of the EU as the first step. It would appear that this environment has done Norway no harm as I read that its Oil Fund owns on average 2.5% of every listed company in Europe! As a small new nation we would be swamped and ineffective in the EU and hidebound by its rules and regulations. (I do know that Norway has restrictions in trading with Europe.) As for currency why should anyone think that a sterling currency union won’t in the long run face the same problems as the Euro Union?